AT&T Classic Predictions
May 13th, 2008We’re heading to Georgia this week for the AT&T Classic at TPC Sugarloaf in Duluth. Par 72, 7,293 yards, $990,000 to the winner. (These guys are still willing to play for less than a million?) We’re looking at a fast, firm layout thanks to the ongoing drought conditions, what the talking heads are calling a “Florida layout.” Cool lefty note—Bob Charles, the first winner of this tournament 40 years ago, will be on hand to hit the ceremonial first drive before Wednesday’s Pro-Am.
My predictions in a moment, but first, a quick bit of taking stock. Lefty Links historians may already know this, but for the rest of you, I’ve run the numbers to see how I’ve been doing so far with my picks. I began on Feb. 24 with the Mayakoba Golf Classic—so it’s been 12 tournaments, 100 total golfer picks (I began with 6 picks per tournament, then moved to my current 10.):
67% made the cut (which includes one MDF—Vaughn Taylor, you bastard)
28% missed the cut
5% withdrawals
19% top-ten finishes
5 winners, with current streak of last 4 winners in a row
So, for what it’s worth, there it is. Make of it what you will. And now, on to my current predictions. Here are my ten players to watch this week at the AT&T Classic:
Briny Baird: Five of Briny’s last 6 finishes have been top-20’s, and he’s coming off a 4th at the Player’s Championship last week. He’s also got a nice track record here at Sugarloaf, with a T9 in ’07, a T10 in ’06, and a T20 in ’04. Don’t be surprised by another good week for Briny.
Jonathan Byrd: He hasn’t done much this year, but he’s a talented young player with solid rounds here: T9 in ’07, 6th in ’06. This could be the week he breaks back into the top-10.
Stewart Cink: He’s the most obvious choice in the relatively weak field this week. You all know about the great year he’s having with 6 top 10’s. He has three top-10’s here at this event: T8 ’04, 6th in ’03 and ’01.
Ben Crane: Playing good golf again, with 5 top 20’s this year and coming off a T6 at the Players Championship. He’s a winner here (’03) and he also finished 6th in ’04.
Brian Gay: He won in February and finished T7 a few weeks ago at the Byron Nelson. He has a decent history here, with a T19 in ’06 and a T14 in ’04. Not a slam dunk pick, but should hopefully be solid.
Ryuji Imada: He hasn’t done much lately this year after a great early stretch, but he’s one of my picks this week whose track record on the course for me overrides his lack of momentum. Here at the AT&T Classic he finished 2nd in ’07, 10th in ’06, and 15th in ’05. This would be a great time for him to get back on track.
Zach Johnson: Okay, here’s the pick I just couldn’t avoid, despite his bad play this year. While he’s struggling through a very lackluster season, he has won twice here (’07 and ’04), and has a 2nd (’06). I just can’t bet against him in Georgia, and especially on this course.
Matt Kuchar: I find myself occasionally looking for excuses to pick Kuchar. I have no idea why. He’s not doing much this year, with just two top-10’s, but he should feel good about this course, having finished T3 in ’07. We’ll see. This one’s a bit of a hunch.
Camilo Villegas: Another one of the young, talented players who seems due for a victory. While he doesn’t have much of a head of steam coming in (his last two starts he finished 55th and 66th), he did finish T3 in ’07. He reminds me a bit of Sergio Garcia, in the sense that he seems to be getting more attention than his play merited. Garcia pulled it off last week, proving that he’s a golfer and not just a product endorser—this week perhaps it’s Villegas’ turn.
Dean Wilson: He’s coming off two solid weeks, with a T12 at Wachovia and a T10 at the Players Championship. While he doesn’t have a huge track record here at Sugarloaf, he did finish T15 in ’05. He’ll hopefully surprise people this week.
Lefty Watch: Only four lefties in the field this week: Eric Axley, Steve Flesch, Nick O’Hern, and Bubba Watson. While I don’t have high hopes for any of them this week, it’s possible Watson might turn things around for himself. He’s been in a funk for too long.