Hello again, folks. This week the pros are at the AT&T National at the Congressional Country Club, hosted by Tiger Woods. It’s a tough week for those of us who like to factor in past results—this is only the third year of the tournament. The Booz Allen Classic was played on this track in ’05, so we can throw those results into the mix, but still, we’re only looking at three years of recent results—not much to find promising track record patterns. Still, if you’re interested, I’ve posted the results for the ’08 and ’07 AT&T National and ’05 Booz Allen on my research sheet page.
Okay, first of all, yes, Tiger is playing this week, and yes, he’s always a wise pick, but you don’t need me to tell you that, so I won’t include him in my list. Who did I include, then, you ask? Well, okay, here you go, my 10 picks for this week’s AT&T National:
Jim Furyk: True, his last start was a mediocre T33 at the U.S. Open, but before that he finished T11, T5, T9, and 2nd. Congressional should get him back on track—he likes it here, having finished T3 in both ’08 and ’07.
Paul Goydos: Three top-5s in his last four starts this year is pretty damned good. And he can play on this course—he had a T13 in ’05 at the Booz Allen.
Anthony Kim: His game is coming back–T16 at the U.S. Open, followed by a T11 at the Travelers that could have been better if he didn’t slip a bit on Sunday. He is of course the defending champion of this event, and also has a T24 in ’07.
Hunter Mahan: Playing great golf right now, with T14, T6, T4 in his last three events. And he has a solid record here at Congressional: T12 ’08, T7 ’07.
John Merrick: He has three top-10s this year, and is coming off a well-played T11 at the Travelers. I’m looking for the good play to continue.
Bryce Molder: Another guy playing good golf recently—T23, T2, T19 in his last three events.
Ryan Moore: Heating up all of a sudden, with a T10 at the U.S. Open, followed by a T4 at last week’s Travelers. And for what it’s worth, he had a T24 in ’07 at this event.
Kevin Na: Played poorly last week, withdrawing before the weekend. But for Na, that could be good news—he plays well after MCs and WDs (3rd, T3, T9 are three bounce-back examples this year).
Bo Van Pelt: Van Pelt can play well (3 top 10’s this year), or stink (7 MC). His T9 last week, plus a solid T12 at this event in ’08, gives me hope for the good Van Pelt to show up.
Mike Weir: T10, T10 in his last two events, and a T7 here at Congressional in ’07.
Lefty Watch: Five lefties in the field this week: Eric Axley, Steve Flesch, Nick O’Hern, Bubba Watson, Mike Weir. Go lefties!