2010 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am Picks

February 8th, 2010

Yes, this is the week we get to see Bill Murray hamming it up with the pros – the Tour’s next stop is the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am. As long as Michael Bolton and Kenny G don’t sing or play the sax, I’ll be happy.

As you probably know, it’s a three-course event, with all players cycling through the three courses Thursday through Saturday, then comes the cut before Sunday’s round at Pebble. There’s a bit extra interest for the pros this year—Pebble will be hosting the U.S. Open in June, so this is a bit of a scouting mission.

So who do I like? Well first, if you want past leaderboards and some number crunching to help you make up your own mind, please take a look at my Tour Research Guide. And then come on back and have your mind blown by my sometimes obvious, sometimes daring list of 10 players to watch at the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am:

Luke Donald: Started the year off shaky, with a MC and T48, but last week’s 2nd at Riviera hopefully shows he’s back on track. At this event he has a T7 ’06, T11 ’05, T17 ’04.

Retief Goosen: He doesn’t play this event often, but still, he has recent success here with a 3rd in ’09. His last two events on the PGA Tour have been T6, T4, and he’s coming off a T9 at the Qatar Masters on the Euro Tour.

Paul Goydos: I’ve got a good feeling about Goydos this week. He’s coming off a solid T5 at Riviera, and he does have some success here: T4 ’05, T13 ’03, T8 ’02.

Dustin Johnson: The defending champ here, Johnson also has a T7 ’08. He’s coming off a T3 at Riviera that saw him come back with a nice Sunday after a poor Saturday.

Matt Kuchar: Kuchar this year already has a 3rd at the SBS, T2 at the Bob Hope, and is coming off a good T20 at Riviera. The Bob Hope, like Pebble, is a multi-course Pro-Am—perhaps his success at the Hope is a sign of things for Kuchar at Pebble. He does have some decent success here: T14 ’09, T6 ’07.

Steve Marino: No track record here to speak of, but Marino is coming off a solid T5 last week, and I like his game.

Phil Mickelson: Yes, I have to mention Phil. His start has been disappointing so far, with a 19th and T45. He seems to be pushing too hard to take advantage of the Tiger void. But it’s only a matter of time, and you’ve got to respect his success here: winner ’07 and ’05, 3rd ’04, T3 ’01.

Alex Prugh: Who? Well, his last three events have been 5, T5, T10, so Prugh, that’s who.

Bo Van Pelt: Played well in a T15 at Riviera last week. He has decent success here: T24 ’08, T11 ’07, T14 ’06, T25 ’04.

Mike Weir: True, last week was a MC, but he did have a 6th at the Bob Hope, and jeez, look at his record here at this event: 2nd ’09, T14 ’08, T3 ’06, 2nd ’05, T4 ’04, T3 ’03, T8 ’01, T7 ’00. Not bad.

Lefty Watch: Four lefties in the field this week: Greg Chalmers, Phil Mickelson, Nick O’Hern, Mike Weir. Go lefties.

2010 Northern Trust Open Picks

February 1st, 2010

Next up, the Northern Trust Open at Riviera CC, in Pacific Palisades, CA. I love this course. I’ve been lucky enough to play it, and it’s a wonderful, old-style test. It’s a very strong field—a tough week to pick just 10.

Interested in past leaderboards and some number crunching to help you make up your own mind? Check out my new 2010 Leftylinks.com Tour Research Guide. Every remaining 2010 PGA Tour stroke play event is covered. And I’ve partnered up for a sweet giveaway—everyone buying the Guide before 8pm EST on Tuesday, Feb.2 will be eligible to win a free entry in www.protourfantasygolf.com’s league 2. That’s a $25 value. (UPDATE: The giveaway has ended–congrats to Patrick M.! No more giveaway, but the Guide is still available!) Click the Guide link for all the details. The Guide is a great resource for your golf picks, and if 10 million of you buy it, I’ll happily quit my day job and play golf every day.

Okay, enough paying the bills—on to the picks. Here you go, my list of 10 golfers to watch at the Northern Trust Open:

Robert Allenby: Playing incredible golf right now. Including other Tours, his last four events have been T9, 2nd, win, win. And the clincher is that he plays very well here at Riviera—T17 ’09, T7 ’08, T3 ’07, T7 ’05, T15 ’04, winner ’01.

K.J. Choi: What happened to Choi? He’s been stinking it up for a while now. Still, there’s a world-class golfer under that crappy golf somewhere, and last week’s T15 at the Farmers showed promise. This venue has solid memories for him to get back on track—T3 ’09, T7 ’08, T22 ’07, T5 ’03.

Charles Howell III: I’m sticking with Howell another week because his play continues to look very good—T9, T26, T5 in his last three events. He won here at Riviera in ’07, and he has a 2nd in ’03 and T6 ’02.

Phil Mickelson: A disappointing Sunday at the Farmers last week dropped him back to 19th place, but you can’t ignore Mickelson at the Northern Trust—check out his recent track record here: winner ’09, winner ’08, 2nd ’07, 4th ’06.

Jeff Quinney: Quinney missed the cut at the Farmers, but before that had decent outings with T26 and T20. This course seems to suit him—T25 ’09, 2nd ’08, T9 ’07. Could be an interesting small-name pick in a packed field.

Andres Romero: My other longshot pick this week. Romero was very mediocre last week at the Farmers with a T71, but he surprised everyone last year at Riviera with a T3, and he could surprise again. Just a hunch.

Rory Sabbatini: Followed up his 2nd at the SBS with a cooler T39 at the Sony, but this one’s more of a track record pick: T6 ’09, T9 ’07, winner ’06, T15 ’04, T2 ’02, T12 ’00.

Adam Scott: This is his first event of the year, which always makes we worry a bit about rust, but I think Scott is going to have a very motivated year. He wants to prove he’s not an overhyped underachiever, and I think he can do it. He ended ’09 strong—these weren’t PGA Tour events, but still, his last five events in ’09 were T12, win, T7, T6, 13.

Brandt Snedeker: A pure momentum pick. Snedeker has no track record here at this event to speak of, but he comes in with a hot hand—T2, T10 in his last two starts this year.

Steve Stricker: Another guy you can’t ignore. Coming off a 3rd at the Sony, and his recent history here is very good: 2nd ’09, T11 ’08.

Lefty Watch: Seven lefties in the field this week: Greg Chalmers, Steve Flesch, Phil Mickelson, Nick O’Hern, Bubba Watson, Mike Weir, Tim Wilkinson. Go lefties.

New! Tour Research Guide, and PTFG Giveaway

January 31st, 2010

I’m happy to announce that the 2010 Leftylinks.com Tour Research Guide is now available! And for the next few days, I’ll be combining the Guide with a protourfantasygolf.com giveaway.

The Guide is an 82-page pdf that offers top-25 leaderboards and number-crunching of best-performing pros for 42 stroke-play events on the PGA Tour this year. From the Farmers Insurance Open (Jan. 28-31, 2010), through the Children’s Miracle Network Classic (Nov. 11-14, 2010), the Guide gives you the basic info you need to pick your golfers each week.

Click here for more details.

And as an incentive, I’ve partnered with www.protourfantasygolf.com (PTFG) for a giveaway. Everyone who purchases the Guide before 8pm (EST) this Tuesday, February 2, will be entered into a drawing to win a free entry into PTFG’s League 2, which starts on Thursday, February 4. That’s a $25 value.

For those of you not familiar with PTFG, it’s a “boutique” fantasy golf game. By boutique, I mean small leagues, so you actually have a shot at winning; and a site manager who seems to care & take pride in his site (props to you, John).

Okay, I hate to do it, but here’s my closing cliché sales speak: What are you waiting for? Get the 2010 Leftylinks.com Tour Research Guide today!

2010 Farmers Insurance Open Picks

January 26th, 2010

This week the pros are at the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in La Jolla, CA. You probably know it better as the Buick Invitational, but sponsors come and go, and Buick went and now it’s Farmers’ turn. The pros play the north and south courses on Thursday and Friday, then stick with the tougher south course for the weekend.

As usual, take a look at my research page for past leaderboards and best performers. And then, come back, because you won’t want to miss my…

…list of 10 players to watch at this week’s Farmers Insurance Open:

Jason Dufner: I like his recent play, with T20, T18 in his last two events. This one’s a sleeper, certainly.

Charles Howell III: T5, T26 in his first two events of 2010, and he plays very well at this event: T13 ’08, T2 ’07, T2 ’05, T7 ’03.

Dustin Johnson: Coming off a decent T16 at the Bob Hope. Not much history here at Torrey Pines, with just a T19 in ’09, but he should play well here.

Phil Mickelson: Yes, I had to included the obvious pick. Mickelson is coming off an excellent end to ’09—the question is whether he’ll be rusty or jump right in. He does have a solid history here: T6 ’08, T8 ’06, T4 ’04, T4 ’03, winner ’01, winner ’00.

Ryan Moore: He has a T16 here in ’07, but more importantly, he’s playing excellent golf now with T6, T10 in his last two events. And if you include last year, that’s 5 top-10s in a row.

John Rollins: T14, T8 in his first two tourneys this year, and he likes this event: 2nd ’09, T4 ’06, T8 ’02.

Brandt Snedeker: A 3rd here in ’07, and coming off a solid T10 at the Bob Hope.

Kevin Sutherland: T15 at the Hope should give him some momentum at this event which he enjoys: T13 ’08, T14 ’07, T6 ’05, T13 ’01, T5 ’00.

Nick Watney: Winner here in ’09, and also has a T9 ’07.

Bubba Watson: A T7 here in ’09. Last week’s T2 at the Hope could either provide burnout or inspiration; I’m betting on the latter.

Lefty Watch: Only three lefties in the field this week: Greg Chalmers, Phil Mickelson, and Bubba Watson. Go lefties.

2010 Bob Hope Classic Picks

January 18th, 2010

Not much time for brilliant intros this week. It’s the Bob Hope Classic, a 5-day Wednesday through Sunday multi-course event, and it’ll be even more of a marathon this year thanks to expected heavy rainfall that might cause delays.

For those of you who want stats, see as always my research page for a decade of leaderboards and a bit of analysis on best performers at the event. Then come back, because, drumroll, here’s my world-famous list of 10 golfers to watch, this week of course at the Bob Hope Classic:

Chad Campbell: A T8 at last week’s Sony has him coming in with a head of steam, and he plays well here: T9 ’09, winner ’06, T16 ’02.

Tim Clark: A decent T25 last week at the Sony, and some solid success here: T5 ’09, T2 ’05.

Charley Hoffman: Hoffman has played very well here the last 3 years: T19 ’09, T8 ’08, winner ’07.

Charles Howell III: His only top-25 at this event this decade was a T6 ’02, but he’s coming off an excellent T5 at last week’s Sony, and I’ve got a feeling about him.

Justin Leonard: Last week’s MC doesn’t inspire me with confidence, but you can’t ignore Leonard’s track record here: 2nd ’08, winner ’05, T8 ’03, T6 ’02.

Ryan Moore: A solid T6 at the season-opening SBS, and he has recent success here, with a T5 ’08.

Jeff Quinney: My darkhorse pick this week. Quinney does have a T4 here at this event in ’07, and he’s coming off a good T20 at last week’s Sony.

Justin Rose: T12 last week, and good recent success here at the Bob Hope: 3rd ’07, T10 ’06.

John Senden: Senden plays extremely well here: T9 ’09, T22 ’08, T5 ’06, T6 ’05, T13 ’02.

Mike Weir: Of course you can’t ignore Weir this week. A winner of this event in ’03, he also has a T3 ’09 and T5 ’06.

Lefty Watch: Five lefties in the field this week: Greg Chalmers, Steve Flesch, Nick O’Hern, Bubba Watson, Mike Weir. Go lefties.

2010 Sony Open in Hawaii Picks

January 11th, 2010

The Tour is truly getting back up to speed this week, with the first full-field, weekend-cut event—the Sony Open in Hawaii. Waialae Country Club in Honolulu is a short par 70 at 7068 yards—the players won’t have to bomb it off the tee this week. Although I’m guessing that John Daly, in the field this week, will be gripping it & ripping it anyway.

I’ve compiled my usual list of top event performers (those with multiple top-25s and top-10s) as well as a decade of top-25 leaderboards. Take a look at my research page, then come back, because I’m about to reveal my first list, in 2010, of 10 players to watch.

Here you go, my 10 players to watch at this week’s Sony Open in Hawaii:

Ernie Els: True, the Big Easy isn’t the dominant player he once was, but you’ve gotta believe he still has some wins left in him. He has a bunch of good memories here to jumpstart his tiring game: 2nd ’05, winner ’04 and ’03, 3rd ’01, 5th ’00.

Rickie Fowler: I’m not wasting any time jumping on the Fowler train this year. The kid is fearless and talented; I don’t expect any rookie jitters out of him.

Retief Goosen: He may not have much of a track record here (T10 ’04, T20 ’03), but he’s coming off good play last week with a T6 at the SBC.

Charles Howell III: He’s coming off a bad year in ’09, and he’s quickly fading from young promising stud into irrelevancy. This would be a great week for him to find his form again—he loves this event: 4th ’09, T2 ’07, T3 ’05, T15 ’03, T4 ’02.

Matt Kuchar: Kuchar followed up his excellent end of the year in ’09 with a very solid T3 last week at the SBC. He should be playing with a ton of confidence right now. FWIW, he does have a T4 here in ’02.

Kevin Na: This pick’s based on recent history—Na has a T5 here in ’09 and T4 ’08.

Sean O’Hair: A T12 here in ’09, but more importantly, he’s coming off a well-played T4 last week and the good golf should continue.

Pat Perez: A streaky, inconsistent, hot-headed player, he played well last week with a T10, and he plays very well at this event: T4 ’08, T10 ’07, T20 ’05, T20 ’03, T17 ’02.

Rory Sabbatini: Let me cut and paste—like Perez, Sabbatini is also streaky, inconsistent, and hot-headed. But the stars seem aligned for him this week. He’s coming off a 2nd last week that included a 10-under par Sunday round, and he has excellent recent results here in Waialea: T12 ’09, 2nd ’08, T2 ’06.

Steve Stricker: Stricker’s T10 last week may seem middle-of-the-road by his standards, but it was a week that saw each day score better, culminating in a 7-under par on Sunday. He does have some history here to help: T23 ’09, T4 ’08, T4 ’07, T14 ’00.

Lefty Watch: Just three lefties in the field this week: Nick O’Hern, Bubba Watson, Tim Wilkinson. Wilkinson is coming back from thumb surgery on a torn ligament—this will be his first PGA Tour event since June ’09.

2010 SBS Championship Picks

January 5th, 2010

Apparently the PGA Tour has decided to go ahead and play the 2010 season, despite Tiger’s hiatus. During Tiger’s knee recovery TV golf ratings fell nearly 50%–we’ll see something similar occurs this year. Hopefully not.

But life goes on for us die-hards. It’s time for the SBS Championship, the kick-off event of the new year, and so I’m coming out of hibernation, cracking my knuckles, and settling back down for a new season of golf prognosticatin’.

This’ll be sort of a warm-up week—it’s a small field, with no cut, and the event is a bear to predict because it’s the first of the year. I did put together my usual bit of research, for those interested in past results at the event. Take a look.

So this week, let’s just put out a few names. (I’ll return to my usual 10 players next week).

Stephen Ames: 3rd ’08, winner ’07, finished the ’09 season strong with a win in November.

Dustin Johnson: He’s going to have a breakout year. Might as well jump right in and pick him now.

Zach Johnson: Another guy who’s going to have a good year. The new groove rule should help the short, accurate player.

Steve Stricker: You can’t ignore Stricker. He’s evolved into a true elite golfer.

Pat Perez: Volatile and erratic, but just a hunch he might do well this week.

Lefty Watch: No lefties this week! Damn…

Q-School Results

December 8th, 2009

Yup, Rickie Fowler made it through, so we’ll be able to see the phenom in a whole bunch of 2010 events. Here’s the full list of Q-School grads:

1 Troy Merritt
2 Jeff Maggert
3 Matt Jones
4 Martin Flores
T5 Neal Lancaster
T5 Brendon de Jonge
7 Billy Horschel
T8 J.P. Hayes
T8 Graham Delaet
11 Jay Williamson
T12 Chris Wilson
T12 Brenden Pappas
T12 Kris Blanks
T15 Omar Uresti
T15 Rickie Fowler
T15 Shane Bertsch
T15 Joe Ogilvie
T19 Brian Stuard
T19 Cameron Tringale
T19 Michael Connell
T19 Chris Riley
T23 Spencer Levin
T23 Brent Delahoussaye
T23 Andrew McLardy

In other news, my casual prediction of Westwood in the Chevron almost came true, but I’m happy to see Furyk back in the winner’s circle. I’m not sure, given the long stretch until the new season, whether this will give him much momentum, but it must be satisfying for him. And yes, Tiger is looking worse and worse every day.

Still here…

December 2nd, 2009

Hi folks,

Just a quick note saying yes, I’m still around! It’s a quiet time for the blog, with regular season events not starting up again until January. I could talk about the Chevron World Challenge, and Q-School–but one doesn’t matter (Chevron–I’ll go with Westwood if you’re twisting my arm), and the other is just impossible to predict (I’m just curious about how Fowler will do.)

I could throw in my two cents on the Tiger crash/adultery melodrama and try to get some tmz.com traffic, but what can I say that hasn’t been repeated ad nauseum all over the internet already?

I’ll have book giveaways over the next few weeks to keep things interesting, and what the hell, maybe I’ll break down and throw in a Tiger post or two.

2009 Children’s Miracle Network Classic Picks

November 10th, 2009

We’ve finally arrived at the season finale–the Children’s Miracle Network Classic down south in DisneyWorld. It’s the last chance for the pros to make it into the top 125 on the money list and secure their Tour cards for next year–there’s a lot on the line for some of the “on the bubble” players this week.

As you regulars know, I’ve posted a decade of leaderboards and crunched some numbers on my research page. Take a look, then come on back, because you don’t want to miss my list of 10 players to watch this week:

Harrison Frazar: Yes, his last event was a MC, but before that was a solid T7 at the Turning Stone. And he has an excellent record of recent performance at this event: T16 ‘08, T17 ‘06, T3 ‘05.

Rickie Fowler: Can the kid post another top-10 and come out of nowhere to secure his Tour card? It would make a great story. His last two starts were T7, T2, and I’m looking for the fearless play to continue.

Zach Johnson: One of the headliners this week, a notch above most of the field. This year he has 2 wins, a 2nd, and a 3rd, as well as 4 other top-10s.

Justin Leonard: Another big name. Not having a great year, but he does have 11 top-25s, and he’s coming off a pretty good T13 at the Frys.com. He has a T6 here at this event in ‘07.

Tim Petrovic: Petrovic is having a fantastic Fall series: T3, T7, T13 in his last 3 events. He also has a T10 here in Disney in ‘08.

Tom Pernice Jr.: Another guy having a good Fall, with T7, T13 in his last 2 events. He also has a very good track record here at this event: 2nd ‘05, T18 ‘03, T17 ‘02, T21 ‘01.

Webb Simpson: In his last 6 events, he does have 2 MC, but he also has an 8th, T7, and T13.

Heath Slocum: A win this year at the Barclays, and his last event was a T8 at the Frys.com. And he has success at this event: T9 ‘07, T9 ‘06, T13 ‘05.

Brandt Snedeker: Coming off a win at the ADT Skills Challenge, and before that he has 3 top-12s in his last 6 starts, with his worst finish in that stretch a T35. Snedeker hasn’t won a regular Tour event since the ‘07 Wyndham–is it time for him to win again?

Kevin Streelman: Streelman can be dangerous and makes lots of birdies. His last start was a MC, but before that was a solid T14 at the Justin Timberlake. He’s about to win the Kodak Challenge, which will put a big chunk of change into his pocket and should have him feeling loose. Also, he has a T6 at this event in ‘08.

Lefty Watch: A paltry 3 lefties in the field this week: Eric Axley, Steve Flesch, Nick O’Hern. Go lefties!